Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.003597 0.003780 0.003967 0.004173 0.004394 0.004624 0.004883
2025-04-27 0.003325 0.003602 0.003898 0.004238 0.004620 0.005038 0.005530
2025-05-04 0.003090 0.003415 0.003771 0.004193 0.004683 0.005235 0.005912
2025-05-11 0.002920 0.003277 0.003679 0.004165 0.004744 0.005417 0.006266
2025-05-18 0.002777 0.003159 0.003595 0.004134 0.004790 0.005570 0.006582
2025-05-25 0.002711 0.003122 0.003599 0.004202 0.004951 0.005863 0.007079
2025-06-01 0.002611 0.003038 0.003542 0.004188 0.005006 0.006023 0.007410
2025-06-08 0.002512 0.002950 0.003473 0.004153 0.005028 0.006138 0.007684
2025-06-15 0.002407 0.002848 0.003381 0.004084 0.005001 0.006184 0.007864
2025-06-22 0.002315 0.002760 0.003303 0.004026 0.004985 0.006238 0.008055
2025-06-29 0.002258 0.002713 0.003273 0.004029 0.005044 0.006396 0.008393
2025-07-06 0.002152 0.002599 0.003154 0.003909 0.004935 0.006316 0.008387
2025-07-13 0.002106 0.002561 0.003132 0.003919 0.005001 0.006483 0.008750
2025-07-20 0.002084 0.002553 0.003148 0.003979 0.005139 0.006757 0.009286
2025-07-27 0.002022 0.002491 0.003092 0.003938 0.005133 0.006822 0.009509
2025-08-03 0.001970 0.002441 0.003049 0.003912 0.005147 0.006915 0.009778
2025-08-10 0.001920 0.002392 0.003004 0.003883 0.005154 0.006997 0.010032
2025-08-17 0.001907 0.002391 0.003025 0.003946 0.005295 0.007285 0.010632
2025-08-24 0.001867 0.002353 0.002994 0.003933 0.005324 0.007403 0.010960
2025-08-31 0.001823 0.002307 0.002951 0.003901 0.005322 0.007472 0.011208
2025-09-07 0.001770 0.002248 0.002888 0.003837 0.005270 0.007459 0.011314
2025-09-14 0.001722 0.002196 0.002833 0.003785 0.005232 0.007466 0.011453
2025-09-21 0.001696 0.002171 0.002816 0.003787 0.005278 0.007609 0.011840